Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Guangdong has issued a batch of personnel appointments and dismissals. According to the news of WeChat official account, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government has appointed and dismissed staff. Appoint Guan Jin as the deputy director of the General Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year; Appointed Chen Yongkang as Deputy Director of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Justice; Zhang Hezhi was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Appointed Ke Mofu as Deputy Director of the Local Records Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Liu Huilin was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year. Li Mingliang was removed from the post of chairman of Guangdong Inspection and Certification Institute Group Co., Ltd.; Jin Ping was removed from the post of deputy director of the Guangdong Provincial Ethnic and Religious Affairs Committee and retired; Lai Haibin was removed from the post of director (deputy department level) of Guangdong Ecological Environmental Protection Supervision Office and retired; Jiao Fangtai was removed from the post of vice president of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and retired; Chen Tinggen was removed from the post of vice president of Wuyi University and retired; Wu Qifeng was removed from the post of Dean of Guangdong Songshan Vocational and Technical College and retired; Jasmine Zhang was removed from the post of president of Maoming Vocational and Technical College and retired; Tan Xuerui was removed from the post of Dean of Shantou University School of Medicine and retired.
Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Tesla Customer Service responded to the declaration of Cyberpickup truck in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: If it can be listed in China in the future, it will be known to all. On December 11th, Tesla Cybertruck electric pickup truck completed the declaration of automobile energy consumption measurement in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. However, on the 11th, the latest data on the China automobile energy consumption inquiry page of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology showed that the energy consumption calculation declaration of Tesla Cybertruck electric pickup truck was also invalid on December 11th. Tesla staff responded that the policy of Cyberpickup driving in China is favorable at present, but it cannot be achieved for the time being. If it can be listed in the China market in the future, the official will announce it on the whole network.South Korean police: A compulsory investigation of Yin Xiyue is being considered. The South Korean police said on the 13th that they are discussing a compulsory investigation of President Yin Xiyue and considering a seizure and search of his communication records and presidential residence. The special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Agency held a press conference on the same day, saying that the plan to detain and search the presidential residence in Hannandong, Longshan District, Seoul is in the "discussion stage". The police are considering seizing and searching Yin Xiyue's communication records. (Xinhua News Agency)
CICC: The personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country to help the long-term development of the insurance industry. CICC published a research report that the personal pension system in the Mainland has been fully extended to the whole country. The bank believes that as one of the important allocation directions of personal pension, various promotion policies will help the long-term development of the insurance industry. Although the average scale of personal pension is small compared with other savings insurance, it can still obtain stable long-term funds and high-quality new customers if it is properly operated. Zhongjin pointed out that in the early stage, the insurance industry may need to establish close ties with powerful sales channels or explore the characteristic mode of self-owned agent channel sales. In the long run, it is necessary to strengthen its own asset management capabilities and explore special services such as health care, which may help build core competitiveness.The Philippines' current account deficit in the third quarter was $5.7 billion.Today, there is a wave of daily limit in the two major outlets. "No bean bags, no AI." With the continuous fermentation of the concept of bean curd in A-shares, some investors shouted such a slogan. Bean bag+toys, bean bag+advertising and marketing, bean bag+data, bean bag+computing power, bean bag+headphones ... Haitian Ruisheng, Runxin Technology, Shengguang Group and other concept stocks have caused continuous market pursuit. This morning, the concept of bean curd became active again, and the AI application end and hardware end of bean curd rose together. Lexin Technology, Zhongke Lanxun, Juxin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, which are known as the "four little dragons" of end-side AI SOC (system on a chip), rose collectively in intraday trading. Runze Technology, a computing stock, rose more than 16%, and its share price reached a new high. In addition, this morning, the market paid more attention to the concept of starting economy, and the exhibition and IP economy sectors rose. The ground element fashion gap opened higher, and it didn't take long for the daily limit to open. The reason is that Shanghai Disu Fashion Co., Ltd. was listed in the "2023 Shanghai First Economic Leading Brand List" published at the end of last year. (CSI)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14